Subdued growth prospects and high social spending pressures will make it challenging for Chile (A-/Stable) to meet medium-term fiscal targets, Fitch Ratings says. The central government (CG) 2023 deficit of 2.4% of GDP contrasts with 2022’s 1.1% surplus and would have been wider without profit transfers from state-owned companies. The deterioration reflects an economic slowdown, a hit to income tax receipts as pandemic support wound down and lower copper prices. Fiscal expenses rose due to higher pension benefits and salaries.
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